They won’t do it until they actually know how to make SOTA AI chips which won’t ... | Hacker News

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lvl155 12 months ago | parent | context | favorite | on: The Dollar Is Dead

They won’t do it until they actually know how to make SOTA AI chips which won’t be for a very long time.

energy123 12 months ago [–]

They'll do it when two conditions are met: (i) the probability of success is high enough, (ii) the probability of success will decline if they wait.

Basically, when China is at maximal power relative to the US. Most credible commentators in the West say that'll be in 2027.

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