Arguably yes. I would wager no one killed by an asteroid in the history of people killed by asteroids realized what was happening before they died.

Nor being an astronomer makes you able to predict every asteroids’ trajectory.

Yet anyone in tech with a Claude sub has decided that AI super-intelligence is impossible and it’s stupid to even worry about it.

Not much of an argument as you just proved the counter point. You don't need a specialist for what is now common knowledge.

Refereeing who is permitted to say what based upon credentials is a popular sport these days.

I would never advocate they not be allowed to say it. But I also am sick of hearing wildly unrealistic takes.